Predicting Covid-19 Infections Using the SIR Model

A Guide to SIR Models

  • S — stands for susceptibles and is the number of individuals who could potentially contract the virus.
  • I — stands for infectives and is the number of individuals that have and can transmit the virus.
  • R — stands for removed and is the number of individuals that either weren’t infected by the virus (possible natural immunity), can’t transmit it to others (could be in isolation), or have passed away.

Predicting Infections in China & South Korea

For China, I decided to focus on the total infections during the period of January to June 2020.
For South Korea, I decided to focus on the active infections at the time from February to June 2020

Final Thoughts

hihi 🐳

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